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have a fiscal and monetary problem here in the united states. what will solve the problem right now? so far the fed doesn't seem to be able to create so many jobs right now. >> what bernanke said last week and i agree with him and the evidence points in this direction is the main reason we have an 9.1% unemployment is because of weak demand. if you're thinking about monetary or fiscal policy, on the fiscal side, it comes from tax cutting, spending increases, or both, and we have to worry about that. on the monetary side, what monetary authorities can do is reduce interest rates and try to reduce rates across a broad set of assets through qe policies. the fiscal and monetary side are trying to stimulate demand, and demand is missing to great stronger momentum. >> they're pushing on a string, rant they? >> the fed has the capability to act right now, and i think always, you know, again chairman ber knack key admitted that this policy tool is not a particularly strong tool. >> ben bernanke said that he creating two million jobs. they did analysis and said if not for what we had done, there
.s. prospers. to say manufacturing jobs in general are going to come back to the united states. most chinese products of low cost are going to go other places. they aren't coming back to the u.s. we have to recognize there's a dramatic ure ing in the world and everybody is part participating in it. >> we know the competitive situation always leans towards china because they've got much lower, you know, costs there. so companies are going to send workers to china and going to manufacture in china. what's great about china slowing down for the u.s.? >> i would agree with robert that, yes, there's a structural rebalancing going on. but this rebalancing is great because this enables for china's middle class to grow and create a service sector which can generate continued higher wages. that allows the private sectors in the developed economies to sell to china's middle class and not just depend on america's middle class. this way it gives a new engine of growth for nations around the world. and this is not priced into the markets. the markets have priced in the fact that china is slowing down but
renaissance. we're gaining market share here in the united states and the riots in china over the weekend support our notion that in the future do you want to put manufacturing facilities overseas or in the united states? this weekend is why you want to put them in the united states. >> peter, tell me what the market right now is saying to you. it would seem to me that since bernanke came out a week or so ago with the announcement of qe3 that the market has kind of moved back a little bit. we've had a few sort of down days as though the market were saying, he gave us what we expected and now it's time to get a little smart. >> it's time to get smart. the earning season could be choppy. i think a lot of people are waiting for that. actually, that's a smart move. don't think you'll see much in the next probably three weeks that will motivate anybody in either direction very seriously. i would like to say i'm a little more positive about it. i think i might be in the minority on this, but i do think we'll probably see some surprises -- >> you got the earnings season right up against the elec
moved, not by what's going on here in the united states, but what's been going on in europe, which says to me two things. one, any bad news out of europe is going to send the market down. two, eventually people are going to have to pay attention to what's going on in the united states. i'm expecting we're heading into earnings season, i'm expecting anemic growth, and eventually that's going to have to play into the situation here. i mean, i know you don't fight the fed, but eventually we have to come back to what's going on in terms of fundamentals and stop focusing on monetary policy. >> what do you think? are we going to focus on fundamentals? if you are, kurt, would you be a seller of this market? >> we are focused in on fundamentals. i think this has been a tug of war between the reflationists and some of the risk that's been perceived in the market. we're not investing in gdp. we're investing in earnings. so far, earnings has held up. so far this year the stock market has been doing well. we'll focus on earnings. in terms of am i a buyer here, i'm taking selective positions because
, our insurance business is growing. we're obviously throughout the united states. we're in many foreign countries. we're in latin america, we're in london, turkey, we're in china, we're in singapore, japan and other countries as we speak. and then our investment side, we're all over. we're invested in china, in the united states, obviously. some in latin america. anyplace we see an opportunity. >> finally, hank, no doubt you saw or heard about my interview with eliot spitzer, which at the end of the day, ended up to be a lot about you. what's your take? did you get feedback on that? >> yeah. you won. i mean, his waving around a document that happened to be nothing to do with what we're talking about, because what he was waving around, i'm told, was a termination by the federal court. but there was an appeal that overturned that. he didn't tell you about the appeal. >> right. hank, good to have you on the program. >> good to be with you. >> thank you for weighing in on the developments at aig, hank greenberg. over to you. >> we'll head toward the break here. markets still trading a littl
those good things. so you can start ordering them on friday. it starts deliveries in the united states the following friday on the 21st. we'll have more on this coming up all day here. let's get to brian shactman with his market flash. >> thank you very much, bill. there is news out there outside of apple. i want to take a look at dole foods, the iconic brand now a smaller cap company just under $1 billion. right around 1:00, the nikkei reported. the headline and the subheader, they reported a japanese company was acquire two dole food units for $1.7 billion. the subhead says they hope to reach an agreement this month. the price spiked. the stock is up 10%. back to you. >> thank you so much, brian. if world investors are right, get ready for another intervention to boost the economy. >> mean time, we're going to talk about whether it's needed or not. peter says any fed action is not going to help and it's wrong. others say the economy needs it right now. let's talk about it and get your perspective on this. peter, you saw the employment numbers last friday. you don't think we need more
in the united states on food assistants? that's staggering. we have not produced a single net new job. there is a bridge that has to be gapped, and ceos want to see what plan and the path is. >> the fiscal cliff has a lot of ceos concerned, what about you? >> i think that's the number one concern. it's a 3% hit to incomes in gdp terms, and the economy only grows 2%. if that happens, and we won't know until after the election, it will wipe out job creation until next year. we're hoping and thinking it gets fixed, but we have to see the election and get into december. >> more things to worry about and think about in the meantime. >> pretty sobers. >> 37 minutes until the closing bell. the nasdaq is higher by 61. >> that is a four.5 year high for the s&p 500, is there more room to run? should you take profits? >>> new claims, president obama and john boehner had a massive blow up over the collapse of the debt deal last year. we're talking about a tirade from the president, can they possibly work together to fix our debt situation if both remain in power after november. >>> and don't mist
level, and it took 19 years to midthat old level again. the united states over the same period. it went back up, back up, back down, and now here we are, if you can zoom in on the edge here. this is the big question for the fed, what's the right level of unemployment to come back down to. is the old number something we can attain, or is the level higher. we looked at it from different angles and it looks cyclical. '08 and '09, things like construction came mack. unemployment rose too fast for it to be long-term government issues. programs like extended unemployment insurance have maybe kept the rate high. let's look at what the response was. lacker and bullard say there is a huge percentage of people unemployed for a long period of time. where is the deflation. all of this extra slack, then we should have deflation in the economy, and the former president of the central bank. an expert in monetary policy, put up this chart. when you look at core inflation, there is no deflation. he argues thath race should maybe be higher. bill, a big debate in the federal reserve. what number should we
the unemployment problem here in the united states. >> yeah, i agree with you on that, bill, but i just want to make a point that i've heard a lot of politicians talk about unemployment. i've not heard any single person talk in a more impassioned way. you can agree or disagree with his prescription, but as far as i can tell, he's the only one in the political establishment doing anything about it. so i think that's an important thing. and that's one of the reasons why, you know, he feels -- he's pointing out that fed policy is not a panacea. he needs help from the fiscal side. >> how come we're not getting it, steve? is it just because washington is so broken? >> i think it's so broken, and i think no side is willing to give the other side any advantage whatsoever until the election clarifies. >> i think that's outrageous. i think that's outrageous, really. i do. >> but it's the reality we face right now. lance roberts, what strikes you about -- i mean, are you hopeful that the economy can get better as ben bernanke suggests, or are you more concerned about what the implications are for this
to be yet more liquidity coming into the system. probably both in universieurope united states. that keeps the action going. >> is that a good thing, don? what do you think about that? is it a good thing we're seeing such momentum in this market ahead of the fed policy, ahead of any of the policy coming out of any international central banks? >> what it does have is a very good effect from the standpoint of mr. obama because, although -- well, people say the unemployment number was terrible, so that's bad for obama. all the polls show that if the s&p 500 is doing really well, that the people out there tends to be more tolerant of some bad economic numbers. on the other hand, if the s&p is cratering and we're getting bad unemployment numbers, then that's good news for mr. romney. >> september and october typically are volatile periods for this market. some tough times right now. ron, one of the expectations is that the fed may add liquidity, but they may also extend the period of time that the fed will keep rates low for that period of time. maybe into 2015 is the expectation. is it a bit d
part of the story of the economy here in the united states. >> quincy, what areas of the market are going to continue rising, assuming you believe the stock market goes higher? >> i think you're going to see the cyclical sectors, the ones that were neglected by the defensive sectors. if you think this is going to move higher, you're already moving into the industrials, the materials, and energy and tech. and financials as well. >> you think this has legs? what do you think the rest of the year looks like in terms of this market? >> this is not straight up. i think one of the reasons you see gains locked in today is who wants the spend the weekend worrying about what's going on in the middle east? there are going to be issues that pull this market back, but i think that you've got a bottom for the market, and you're going to see it grind higher every time there's a pullback. >> stephanie, you told me yesterday immediately following the fed decision when you were sitting next to me on "halftime," buy the financials head over fist. >> yeah, and we actually added to the stock i pick
this kind of conversation around the country today on the basis of our tax situation in the united states, right? >> i think that's a very good thing, yeah. >> very healthy conversation. some, even though they're calling these comments a disaster for the romney campaign, others are not. donald trump, for one. he's what he told the gang on "squawk box." this morning. >> these statements that were very unfortunate, i guess. i don't think he should apologize. he's probably right. he probably won't get any of those votes, but he should not be apologizing. >> so is donald trump right? should romney just stand behind though comments? joining us to break it down is director of the tax policy center and our own rick santelli. rick, you agree with trump? >> i'm not going to agree or disagree with trump. my opinion is he stated basic facts, not an elegant fashion. sometimes the facts aren't easy to swallow. the issue here isn't about that sound bite. the issue here is about the media. we have a $16 trillion debt. we have a jobs program, or many jobs programs that haven't worked. we have a federal r
to the united states. go in there with good security selectors. there's going to be some volatility but valuations matter a lot. >> we're at five and a half year highs in this market. are we getting a little more expensive overall. >> 13.5 times, the s&p 500 is right where you need to be right now, as long as the economy continues to move forward and continues to grow 1.5 to 2%. our view is, the economy has fallen off a cliff since the start of the second quarter and it's moving sideways right now. qe 3, the feds boldest move yet really needs to be successful, you're seeing glimmers in recovery and housing. it remains at suppressed levels. if we can continue to move forward here, can you see the impetus come into the economy. >> ben bernanke has said, the success of qe 3 will be determined by job growth in this economy. will it create jobs? >> it will create jobs in the real estate related markets. that could be a start. >> are you sticking to your estimates in terms of double-digit growth for financials in the fourth quarter? s&p 500, the estimates from the analysts out there, have
. number two, increased production from the united states, canada and the north sea, specifically norway. and number three, iraq. iraq has continued to increase their production. you know, they have as much reserves as iran, so they are the third or second -- tied for second in the world of reserves, and iraq has put in these offshore terminals, and they have been able to ramp up the exports. that is likely to put some downward pressure if there's no geopolitical blow up, maria. >> i was just going to see, weigh the geopolitical risk versus the spr noise and tell me where oil goes between now and the end of the year. >> well, we have 117 for the end of the year on brefnlt now our view is that the geopolitical noise is not likely to seriously dissipate, because there's no sign of progress in the iranian nuclear negotiations. there's no sign that the standoff will be eased any time soon, and without any easy off ramp, we don't see how this situation is resolved, so we think potentially 2013 you're really looking at a question of does iran get nuclear weapons capability, or do you take mili
. prosecutors are expected to seek his extradition from the u.k. if he doesn't voluntarily return to the united states. there you are. >> yeah. >> take a break here, come back with about 25 minutes left. the dow heading a little lower, down 40 points. >> september is traditionally the worst month for stocks, but the market is faring better than expected. market watchers will weigh in next. >>> also, twitter battles the government to protect your privacy. we'll hear from that company's ceo still to come. >>> after the bell, find out what texas billionaire boone pickens thinks about importing oil. back in a moment. [ male announcer ] at scottrade, we believe the more you know, the better you trade. so we have ongoing webinars and interactive learning, plus, in-branch seminars at over 500 locations, where our dedicated support teams help you know more so your money can do more. [ rodger ] at scottrade, seven dollar trades are just the start. our teams have the information you want when you need it. it's another reason more investors are saying... [ all ] i'm with scottrade. >>> welcome back. 20 mi
contributor. david foon is part of the fastest growing jewish newspaper in the united states. gentlemen, how big of a factor is this tension between iran and israel factored into the price of oil? >> there's no question that today's run-up, marimaria, was direct reaction. we got a leak of some of the speech earlier before the market opened that, in fact, prime minister netanyahu was going to state what this red line was going to be all about. now we know. of course, it comes on the heels of ahmadinejad's speech yesterday. this got right back in the forefront of the traders and the markets' mind here. what it represents, of course, for oil is, you know, the mother of all supply risks here. the strait of hormuz comes into play. the whole region comes into play. obviously, it's almost a mild reaction given what we got here today. we're clearly on a path to something, some confully grags. i do say given that netanyahu says they won't get to that final stage until next summer, we have some time. >> david, what did you think of the red line speech? netanyahu has pressed for this before. the u.s. i
Search Results 0 to 15 of about 16